By Larry Bell
Current circumstances dramatically favor odds of Republicans winning control of the House in 2022, and although less assuredly, possibly the Senate as well.
A key factor in this prediction centers on a premise that midterm congressional and statehouse elections differ greatly from national presidential elections through decentralization of power levers and battle strategies.
Whereas the Democrats were able to target huge 2020 election funding and mail-in ballot skullduggery on winning a half-dozen key crucial states and counties, midterm financial and vote roll-out campaigns will pose much more dispersed grassroots requirements focusing on state and local priorities that attract more motivated and issue-aware voters.
On the federal government House side, Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s control of campaign purse strings won’t be adequate to keep her party loyalists in lock-step on poison pill inflationary and job-killing spending bills that won’t play “back home” regardless of how much media that money would buy.
At least that’s how I see it based on some big Democrat liabilities that exist throughout the land.
Free Lunches Will Serve Costly Indigestion
An ominous trend for midterm Democrats is indicated by a 26-point drop among independents since May in optimism about the “direction of the country, “as concluded in a June ABC News-Ipsos poll.
Although this direction disillusionment must be attributed to many factors, it’s safe to assume that concerns about unfunded federal government spending and inflation on household economies rank right up there on top.
A current example is an exclusively Democrat-Socialist proposed lallapaloosa $3.5 trillion (and likely a lot more) “American Jobs Plan,” which they will attempt to handcuff – along with Sens. Krysten Sinema, D-AR and Joe Manchin, D-WV – to the passage of a problematic $1.2 trillion “Infrastructure” bill.
Expect Sinema and Manchin to notice gallows being erected by their Red state majority Arizona and West Virginia constituents if they fail to break a 50-50 Democrat-Republican tie vote on this monetary monstrosity.
As 16th-century British author Samuel Johnson observed, “Depend on it, sir, when a man knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, it concentrates the mind wonderfully.”
War on Hydrocarbons Will Fuel Electrifying Energy Hikes
It will become increasingly impossible to disguise skyrocketing commodity, the pump price, and home electricity costs directly attributable to the progressive Democrat war on fossil energy independence.
Inexplicable Biden decisions to shut down the Keystone XL pipeline and drilling in ANWR, along with thousands of good-paying jobs (while simultaneously dropping Trump sanctions on Russia’s Nord Stream 2 pipeline under the Baltic to Germany) will have nationwide transportation and food impacts that will fall most consequentially on low-income populations.
These economic fallouts and shortfalls can’t simply be dismissed as Red versus Blue state contests. Consider New Mexico, for example, a state with five electoral votes that Biden won by an 11% margin. The state relies on its oil and gas industry for more than 134,000 jobs, $17 billion of annual economic activity, and 33.5% of its tax and royalty revenue budget.
Open Southern Border Blues Will Also Go National
Reversals of Trump policies have resulted in a full-blown crisis exemplified by a projected 2 million undocumented Democrats crossing the U.S. southern border this year. Included are children inhumanely crowded in disgusting COVID-infested facilities, their nationwide transfers, and crime cartel exploitation of a total security breakdown by human and narcotics traffickers.
Biden’s executive order ended Trump’s nearly 500 miles of new wall construction; reestablished Obama’s “catch-and-release” policy; terminated Trump’s Migrant Protection Protocols, which kept migrants in Mexico as they awaited political asylum hearings; and also exempted unaccompanied children from Trump’s Title 42 Coronavirus protection policy allowing Border Patrol agents to turn back illegal crossers.
Consequential COVID-spread, child education and welfare costs, drug addiction, and crime impacts will be felt far beyond border states, including burdened liberal-leaning northern communities.
Urban Lawlessness Will Arrest Suburban Tolerance
In sharp contrast to Donald Trump’s law and order policies, Democrats in general – and Joe Biden in particular – have been conspicuously silent in not vigorously condemning last summer’s mob riots, property destruction, and deadly violence which swept through broad areas of many Democrat-controlled American cities.
Not surprisingly, overall crime rates, including homicides, are soaring in those same cities that are incomprehensibly slashing police budgets following “peaceful protests” that injured 2,000 police personnel, killed approximately 50 people, and caused more than $2 billion of property damage.
Even progressives are finally awakening to the importance of this issue.
Take the just-decided uber-liberal New York City Democratic mayoral primary election, for example…where aggressively anti-crime candidate, Eric Adams, soared to the top as a winner both on the June 22 primary night and after the newly instituted ranked-choice voting process was finally completed weeks later.
Parents Will Reclaim K-12 Curricula Responsibility
A majority of Democrats and Republicans are concerned regarding indoctrination of their children with critical race theory (CRT) and 1619 Project distortions of American history, asserting that the U.S. was founded for the express purpose of institutionalizing oppressive Black slavery.
Accordingly, the CRT framework teaches white students to think they enjoy special privileges derived from — and bear responsibility to atone for — historical crimes committed by individuals who share their skin color.
Some Red states are beginning to legislate against these toxic public education travesties, and they will gain former Blue residents and voters in doing so.
Democrat COVID Closedowns Will Open GOP Advantages
Joe Biden’s campaign pledge to “crush the virus” (with pointedly no acknowledgment of Trump vaccines) has failed to demonstrate coherent, consistent, or competent policies.
The Democrat pact with teachers’ unions that has shut down public school in-class teaching has deprived low COVID-risk K-12 children of quality education and normal social experiences. This has also burdened working parents with home-schooling responsibilities that again fall heaviest on low-income single-parent family wage earners.
Droves of Blue state and city residents and entrepreneurs are also fleeing draconian COVID business and school closures for Red refuges from onerous regulations and civic leadership dysfunction. Consequently, for example, New York loses a House seat, as Florida gains one; California loses one as Texas gains two.
Legal Voters Will Demand Ballot Accountability
At a time when about one-third of the public — including a Supreme Court petition by 19 state attorneys general — continue to doubt that Biden fairly won the 2020 election, Democrats have unsuccessfully pushed for a grandiosely titled “For the People’s Act” (HR-1) which would have institutionalized opportunities for election fraud under federal government authority.
Whether or not the 2020 election was “stolen,” there should be little doubt that COVID-premised changes to state election procedures and mass-scale mail-in ballot validation disruptions impacted the results in ways that give rise to legitimate challenges and calls for integrity safeguards.
President Biden’s hyperbolic claim referring to Republican state legislative election reform bills as “21st century Jim Crow” and ballot identification requirements as the “most significant threat to our democracy since the Civil War” are resoundingly rejected by 80% of all eligible voters.
Joe Biden is wrong.
As tyrannical regimes throughout history have illustrated, the greatest threat to our democracy since the Civil War will occur when authentic ballot legitimacy loses meaning.
Originally published by America Out Loud. Republished with permission.