Rare Earths First? Or Last?

As Joe Biden and Kamala Harris take the reins of government and launch their program to “transition” America away from fossil fuels, they need to consider some hard realities. Chief among them is that no Green New Deal can succeed without major increases in US mining and processing – unless they want to make America even more dependent on China, Africa, and Russia.

Rare-earth metals are essential to 21st century technologies, including smartphones, lasers, night vision systems, weapons guidance systems – and GND technologies like wind turbines, solar panels, batteries and electric vehicles. As British hedge fund veteran James Horrocks noted in a recent article, “It is easy to see why rare earths have become a pawn in the US-China trade war.”

China Dominates the Market

China, Horrocks noted, has only a third of global reserves of rare earths, but in 2017 produced over 80 percent of the global supply of rare-earth metals and compounds, and its exports that year to the United States accounted for 78 percent of the 17,000 tons of U.S. rare-earth imports. Even rare-earth metals mined in the United States of America are processed in the People’s Republic – because China now owns the American deposit and we’d prefer to pay the cheaper prices associated with processing under China’s abominable pollution, wage and workplace safety rules.

Christopher Barnard, national policy director at the American Conservation Coalition, is but one of many who agree that a reliable, affordable domestic supply of rare-earth metals is critical to building a “green” economy. Last month Barnard warned that “the geopolitical, economic and environmental risks” inherent in near-total reliance on a potentially hostile power “can no longer be ignored.”

The Chinese near-monopoly (it was worse before Japan built a new supply chain after China blocked all rare-earth exports in 2010) is largely a creation of activist-driven anti-mining policy in the United States. America has bountiful rare-earth deposits, but extracting them is not photogenic. Barnard laments that the “regulatory minefield of labyrinthine local, state and federal rules” has turned permitting into a two-to-three-decade adventure in frustration.

Trump Changes Domestic Policy to Help America

Over the past decades, lawmakers have all but banned mineral exploration and development on minerals-rich federal lands. The few once-active rare earth mines have long been shuttered, largely due to high compliance costs. Mountain Pass, the sole US operating rare-earth mine, lost two years of production due to a 2016 bankruptcy and still sends its mined ore to China for processing.

To counter U.S. dependence on Chinese imports, in September 2020, President Trump signed Executive Order (EO) 13953 declaring a national emergency in the mining industry. The order charged the Interior Department with increasing domestic production of rare-earth materials, to reduce America’s dependence on China for these building blocks for 21st century technologies. EO 13953 built on his December 2017 EO 13817 that required the Interior Secretary to identify critical materials and reduce “the Nation’s vulnerability to disruptions in the supply of critical minerals,” especially those from China and Russia.

Many of the recommendations in EO 13953 were incorporated into the Energy Act of 2021, part of the Consolidated Appropriations Act that also funded pandemic relief. The new law requires the Energy Department to conduct a research and development program for advanced separation technologies for extraction and recovery of rare-earth elements and other critical materials from coal and coal byproducts. A coequal goal is to mitigate any environmental and public health impacts from these activities–which is always required for operations in the United States, though not for those in or by China.

The new law further requires triennially updated lists of critical minerals, plus new curricula for colleges and universities to build a strong critical minerals workforce; domestic, publicly available resource assessments of critical minerals; analytical and forecasting tools to evaluate critical minerals markets; new alternatives to, recycling of, and efficient production and use of critical materials; and more. Finally, the law requires that the Director of National Intelligence submit to Congress a regular report of Chinese investments in minerals.

Expanding Mining

In addition, during Trump’s final days, the Bureau of Land Management (the original BLM) announced new decisions that took effect January 15 expanding potential mining operations on federal lands, adding mining to the list of industries that can receive fast-tracked permitting (critical to getting any new rare-earth mines operational), approving a new mine in Nevada for lithium (a critical element in electric vehicle batteries), and approving a land swap to ease final approval of an Arizona copper mine.

With these final acts, the Trump administration will have laid the groundwork for Biden’s supposed “clean-energy-focused” new government to have a shot at meeting the raw materials needs for the 21st century technologies that he has promised will drive tomorrow’s U.S. economy. Of course, China may use its leverage to try to undercut any U.S. producers, especially if Biden lifts (or fails to impose) tariffs aimed at offsetting China’s unfair advantages from its unethical and dirty mining and forced labor practices.

What Will Biden Do?

Will Biden and Congress undermine all this? Anti-mining Democrats were quick to object to the last-minute BLM actions. Rep. Paul Grijalva (D-AZ), whose own approach to U.S. mining has been called “good for China, bad for America,” has said President Obama’s 2015 FAST-41 law, which greased permitting for utility projects, was “never intended … to cover the mining sector.”

But Rich Nolan, president of the National Mining Association, lauded BLM’s move, stating, “[a]merican mining is key to successfully repairing our nation’s infrastructure.”  Previously, Nolan had reiterated his organization’s stance that “the very technologies essential to our recovering economy will be built on a foundation provided by mining. It’s now absolutely essential that smart policy recognizes this need and opportunity.”

The Biden campaign privately told U.S. miners it would support boosting domestic production of metals required to make electric vehicles, solar panels, and other products critical to his climate plans. But this would represent a shift from Obama policies that included “rigorous environmental regulations that slowed U.S. mining sector growth.” It’s also anathema to environmental pressure groups that support and advise Biden.

Biden’s Conflicting Constituencies

Green groups in Arizona, Minnesota, and Nevada—along with some Native American tribes—have begun pounding the drums of dissent. For example, Save the Boundary Waters opposes a Twin Metals copper mine in Minnesota; the project already has federal permits but is facing court challenges. Spokesperson Jeremy Drucker complained, “Mining companies have been using EVs and climate change as a cover to push their own agenda: profit.”

Then there is Biden’s nomination of New Mexico Native American Deb Haaland to head up his Interior Department. Native American groups have opposed the fast tracking of approval of the Resolution Copper Mine, which could supply up to a quarter of growing U.S. copper demand for 40 years. Native Americans say the mine would desecrate sacred lands. How will Haaland, and her boss, handle this touchy issue, given her ties to tribes opposing the mine and the vital role of copper to the GND?

Meanwhile, Biden continues to refer to Kamala Harris as “President-Elect” and speaks of a “Harris-Biden Administration.” One wonders how much influence VP Harris will have on Biden administration planning and policy, since she is on record as opposing almost any new domestic mining operations. Put another way, who will really be in charge of our energy and economy?

The ultimate question is, should America be dependent on China (and Russia) to supply the tools for the new economy? Or will the Biden-Harris administration follow up on the Trump approach to rebuilding the U.S. rare-earths mining and processing industry, to avoid near-total dependence on major human rights violators? In other words, will Biden-Harris put America’s clean energy future in China’s hands?

Duggan Flanakin (dflanakin@gmail.com) is Director of Policy Research at the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org).

This earlier version of this article was originally published on Townhall and is used with the permission of its author.