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Genetski: What’s Ahead in 2023?
2022 saw rapid increases in spending, high inflation, little real growth, declining living standards and public discontent. What's ahead?
Year that Was
2022 is the third...
Genetski: Different from Every Other Expansion?
Genetski: The economy expands, as inflation (plus or minus productivity) works it way through.
The Week That Was
Most data show the economy continued to expand...
Genetski: Contracting Manufacturing and Service Sectors
Contracting manufacturing and service sectors are consistent with a recession, and new orders for nonvolatile durable goods categories are unchanged.
The Week That Was
This week’s...
Genetski: Inflation Cools, but Economy Remains Hotter Than Fed Wants It to Be
Today's report on incomes and consumer spending was consistent with the third quarter GDP report. The good news is inflation has cooled to around...
Genetski: Decline in Housing and Stocks Points to Recession
Genetski: decline in housing and stocks points to a potentially large decline in business activity in coming months.
The Week That Was
There was little...
Genetski: Congress Doing Great Damage to Economy
Congress has been busy doing great damage to the economy lately. The passage of the Chips for America Act and Reduce Inflation Act will...
Genetski: Fed Seems Determined to Shock Economy into Recession
Fed shocks economy: "The Fed’s determination to shock the economy into a downturn appears to be working. ... With federal regulations bringing productivity to...
Genetski: Jobs Report Is Good; Fed Not So Good on Inflation
Jobs report shows employment growth remains strong, but economic fundamentals are weakening and the Fed showed it doesn’t know it is the cause of...
Genetski: Russia’s Invasion of the Ukraine Has Rattled Markets
Russia's invasion of Ukraine dominated the news and rattled markets (see Market Forces below), which continued to decline.
The Week That Was
Today’s report on January...
Genetski: Economic Forces Are Competing; Inflation Will Win
The Fed continues to pump up the money supply, leading to rising prices, overvalued stocks, and slower GDP growth. The Fed also plans to...